initial forecasts, own circle                              obs=  134 exp= 221.3 obs/exp=0.61 [0.48,0.74]
initial forecasts, counted in the last version's circle    obs=  158 exp= 221.3 obs/exp=0.71 [0.58,0.85]
initial forecasts, own center, 2x radius                   obs=  172 exp= 221.3 obs/exp=0.78 [0.64,0.92]
share of mainshocks whose last circle differs from the initial one: 0.99
initial magMain - final ComCat mag: n=204 median=+0.00 mean=+0.008 share>+0.1=0.13 share<-0.1=0.07